PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Likud 51%+0.5%Leader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$508.6
Liquidity
$103.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
2.0%
Tight spread7d Change
+14.0%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 1, 26, 10:00 PMOct 27, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Likud51%
Also available on Kalshi
Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?
1y
48%
6%
1%
+3 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$62.9K
24h Vol$1
KALSHIRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.