Israeli Legislative Election Winner
3.0 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle East21d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yashar 50.5%+3.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Yashar 50.5%+3.0ptMarket quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$40.9K
Liquidity
$421.4K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
13
7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
May 1, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketWill the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?
KalshiRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Yashar is 50%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Yashar 50% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 49%
- Also available on Kalshi — Israeli legislative election winner? · Yashar 48%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Israel election: Which party will win the most seats? · Yashar (Gadi Eizenkot) 47%
- Also available on Futuur — Winner of Israel's legislative election · Likud 50%