Israeli Legislative Election Winner
2.0 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle East10d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yashar · —
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Stored reference
Yashar 67.7%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Yashar 67.7%Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$33.9K
Liquidity
$683.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$344.7K
Bid / Ask
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YasharSpread
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Comments
13
7d Change
-19.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 1, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Yashar
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election: Turnout
PolymarketWill the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
KalshiRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Yashar is 69%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Yashar 69% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 69%
- Also available on Kalshi — Israeli legislative election winner? · Yashar 64%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Israel election: Which party will win the most seats? · Yashar (Gadi Eizenkot) 68%
- Also available on Futuur — Winner of Israel's legislative election · Yashar 63%