PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability↑$1.1T 100%+3.6%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$91.8K
Liquidity
$357K
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.4% / 8.5%
Spread
1.2%
Tight spread7d Change
+1.7%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 4:57 AMJan 1, 27, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
↑$1.25T83%
Large trades
$2.3k46.0%POLYMARKETWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? — YesFickle-Bladder11d ago
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? — YesFickle-Bladder11d ago$1.5k49.0%POLYMARKETWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? — Nouma00312d ago
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? — Nouma00312d ago$1.8k59.7%POLYMARKETWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? — Noronm23812d ago
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? — Noronm23812d ago$3.9k81.0%POLYMARKETNoefghvcdbjkpqwo21d ago
POLYMARKETNoefghvcdbjkpqwo21d agoVolume trend
$91.8kJul 221d of dataJul 22
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.