Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
1.0 pts (24h)ExchangeOne-OffAITechEquitiesCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
↑$1.5T · —
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Stored reference
↑$1.5T 94%Leader of 14 outcomes
↑$1.5T 94%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$34.9K
Liquidity
$349.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.9M
Bid / Ask
— / —
↑$1.5TSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 4:57 AM UTCJan 5, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
↑$1.0TWon
Before close: 100% ·
↑$1.1TWon
Before close: 100% ·
↑$1.25TWon
Before close: 100% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · ↑$1.5T
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
