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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

3.4% (24h)7mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Market quality 72 • Medium qualityNear resolution

Alerts

Follow this market to create alerts.

Decision support

Current implied probability

↑$1.0T 100%

Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality
Bid / Ask

91.3% / 95.8%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Last updated: Jun 3, 10:31 PM

Resolves

Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 PM

24h Volume

$23.1K

Liquidity

$451K

Spread

4.9%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-1.8%

High liquidityNear resolution
Started May 19, 2026, 5:15 AMEnds Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
↑$1.0T
↑$1.0T
+2.4%100%
↑$1.1T
↑$1.1T
-3.4%94%
↑$1.25T
↑$1.25T
-0.5%88%
↑$1.5T
↑$1.5T
-0.5%72%
↑$1.75T
↑$1.75T
+1.5%60%
↑$2.0T
↑$2.0T
-3.0%42%
↑$2.5T
↑$2.5T
-1.5%31%
↑$3.0T
↑$3.0T
-3.0%19%
↓$800B
↓$800B
-0.5%12%
↓$600B
↓$600B
-10%
↑$4.0T
↑$4.0T
-1.0%9%
↓$700B
↓$700B
-9%
↑$5.0T
↑$5.0T
-7%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount.

  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
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Topics

AITech

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