Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
0.2% (24h)ExchangeAIOne-OffCorporate ActionsEquitiesBusiness & Corporate1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability$1.25–$1.5T 17%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$409.7
Liquidity
$102.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.4% / 8.3%
Spread
12.2%
Wide spread7d Change
-2.9%
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 9:07 PMDec 31, 27, 11:55 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
$1.25–$1.5T17%
Compare venues· 1.8T+
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 17% | -26pt | $409.7 | $102.4K | 20 minutes ago | |
| Polymarket85% match · linked | Medium | 43% | 0pt | $142 | $65.4K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless85% match · verified | Low | 44% | +1pt | $0 | $0 | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 90% | +47pt | — | — | 2 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day?
2y
90.3%
85.4%
79%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
0.5%1y
43%
17%
+0.1%17%
+4 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$217.7K
24h Vol$142
POLYMARKETAlso available on Limitless
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1y
43.5%
17.5%
17.4%
+4 more outcomes
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$334.7
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
- Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
- It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
- If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$410Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
- Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
- It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
- If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.