Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast1 trillion or higher? 93.1%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 8:24 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
OpenAI closing market cap on IPO day?
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MyriadRules
Resolves N/A if no IPO by end of 2028.
- This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Google finance will be the source.
- Example: 1.4 trillion or more means 1,400,000,000,000.00 or more
- Related market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/256/openai-closing-market-cap-on-ipo-da)
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $280.7K
- 24h Vol
- $148.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day??
- Manifold Markets prices 1 trillion or higher? at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day? resolve?
- Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves N/A if no IPO by end of 2028.
- Where else is Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Polymarket.