KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityMorgan Stanley 59%+1.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5
Liquidity
$13.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 59.0%
Spread
13.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Morgan Stanley59%
Also available on Polymarket
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
0.5%1y
+0.5%38%
35%
5%
+16 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$33.2K
24h Vol$577.6
POLYMARKETRules
If Goldman Sachs serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.
- If Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If JPMorgan Chase serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bank of America serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Citigroup serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Goldman Sachs serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.
- If Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If JPMorgan Chase serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bank of America serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Citigroup serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.