KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Morgan Stanley 79.6%-1.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$811.3
Liquidity
$14.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWhat will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
LimitlessAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:SEC EDGAR database filings
- If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.
- If Citigroup serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO? · Morgan Stanley 74%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO??
- Kalshi prices Morgan Stanley at 80% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? resolve?
- Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.