KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Manufacturing 87%Leader of 17 outcomes
Manufacturing 87%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$38K
Open interest
$34.8K
High open interestSpread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 12, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the named outcome is said by any Apple representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Apple earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Apple Inc. Earnings Call
- How this is resolved Video of the Apple earnings call.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Apple earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract.
- Payout criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.