PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jack Lowden 38.8%-2.3ptLeader of 24 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$21.8K
Liquidity
$215.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
12
7d Change
-9.8 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 18, 26, 11:03 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
James Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by an openly homosexual actor?
FutuurWho will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy)
Manifold MarketsWho will be named the next 007 in the James Bond franchise?
Manifold MarketsWill Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by a woman?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $73,000 or above-1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $373.3K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $379.3K
- 24h Vol
- $369.4K
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027-6.0pt67%
- Before March 2027+1.0pt17.4%
- Before February 2027+4.0pt9.2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+23.0pt52%
- 180-199-8.0pt26.5%
- 140-159+3.9pt15.7%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- October 31+3.2pt99%
- December 31+2.9pt99%
- September 30-6.5pt1%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89%
- OpenAI+0.1pt9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $78,505.20 target
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 9, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next James Bond actor??
- Polymarket prices Jack Lowden at 39% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Next James Bond actor? resolve?
- Next James Bond actor? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Next James Bond actor? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Next James Bond actor? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Kalshi.