Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
A white man 93.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 24, 1:37 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.2%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
Manifold MarketsJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by an openly homosexual actor?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by a woman?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketWho will be officially announced as the next James Bond by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") · Nicholas Hoult 17%
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the next James Bond after No Time to Die??
- Manifold Markets prices A white man at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the next James Bond after No Time to Die? resolve?
- Who will be the next James Bond after No Time to Die? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- Where else is Who will be the next James Bond after No Time to Die? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur.