Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
A white man 97%Leader of 3 outcomes
A white man 97%Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 24, 1:37 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
Manifold MarketsJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by a woman?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be played by an openly homosexual actor?
FutuurNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketWho will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy)
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Next James Bond actor? · Jack Lowden 38%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers) · Jack Lowden 46%
- Also available on Futuur — Next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") · Jack Lowden 38%
