KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before January 2028 97%Leader of 7 outcomes
Before January 2028 97%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$22.6K
Open interest
$1.2M
High open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
May 12, 26, 11:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Before September 2026Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Before October 2026Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What songs will appear on the radio in Grand Theft Auto VI at release?
Manifold MarketsGrand Theft Auto VI: New trailer release date
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KalshiWill Grand Theft Auto VI actually release on November 19, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Rockstar Games
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rockstar Games. Any references to Rockstar Games, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rockstar Games and Kalshi.
Rules for each outcome
- Before January 2028
- If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before July 2027
- If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December 2026
- If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before November 2026
- If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September 2026
- If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October 2026
- If GTA 6 (Grand Theft Auto VI) has been released on a major platform (PS5, Xbox Series X/S, Windows) by Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
