PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$2.6M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 4:58 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
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Manifold MarketsPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
- Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
- In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
- If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026? · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 98%
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $224.9K
- 24h Vol
- $107.3K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2599%
- Above 2785%
- Above 3074%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $118.2K
- 24h Vol
- $76.7K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-5.0pt74%
- 940 - 950m+4.5pt24%
- 960 - 970m-1.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+14.0pt98%
- Above 50+31.0pt95%
- Above 55+39.0pt91%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $319.5K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel-3.0pt25.7%
- Dee Valladares+10.0pt14.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-4.0pt14.7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-8.0pt73.3%
- Yes+8.0pt26.7%
- Total Vol
- $401.9K
- 24h Vol
- $55.7K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest grossing movie in 2026??
- Polymarket prices Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 94% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Highest grossing movie in 2026? resolve?
- Highest grossing movie in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Highest grossing movie in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
- Where else is Highest grossing movie in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.