FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96%Leader of 7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$765.7
Low liquidityTraders
66
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
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PolymarketOn May 1st 2027 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts which film will earn the highest domestic box office revenue (United States and Canada) during the 2026 calendar year.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is Box Office Mojo, Amazon’s authoritative box office tracking platform.
- Only theatrical box office revenue is considered; streaming, digital, and home video sales are excluded.
- Eligible films must have had their wide theatrical release between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
- The reference ranking will be the domestic calendar-year grosses published at boxofficemojo.com/year/2026, using the “Gross” column once full data for December 31, 2026, is available.
- If a film is released in December 2026 and continues earning into 2027, only its 2026 earnings will count.
