Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
18.5 pts (24h)InflationOne-OffEntertainment3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
7th-9th · —
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Stored reference
7th-9th 45%Leader of 5 outcomes
7th-9th 45%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
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7th-9thSpread
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7d Change
-6.5 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 7, 26, 9:04 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 7th-9th
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record.
- The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
- 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
- This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross.
- Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
