Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

7.5 pts (24h)InflationOne-OffEntertainment4mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

6th or higher 68%+27.0pt

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

30 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$111.2

Liquidity

$1.7K

Low liquidity

Spread

55.0 pt

Wide spread

Comments

7d Change

+0.5 pts

Market data

Updated 17 minutes ago

Aug 7, 26, 9:04 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record.

The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross.
Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

7.5 pts (24h)InflationOne-OffEntertainment4mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

6th or higher 68%+27.0pt

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

30 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$111.2

Liquidity

$1.7K

Low liquidity

Spread

55.0 pt

Wide spread

Comments

7d Change

+0.5 pts

Market data

Updated 17 minutes ago

Aug 7, 26, 9:04 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record.

The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross.
Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record??: Polymarket prices 6th or higher at 68% as of August 21, 2026.
When does Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? resolve?: Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record.

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Frequently asked questions

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