PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 3.7%
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 2:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
3.7%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
3.7%100%
3.6%0%
3.3%0%
3.4%0%
3.5%0%
3.8%0%
3.9%0%
3.7%Won
3.0%Lost
3.1%Lost
3.2%Lost
3.3%Lost
3.4%Lost
3.5%Lost
3.6%Lost
3.8%Lost
3.9%Lost
≤2.9%Lost
≥4.0%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurSeptember Inflation UK - Annual
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.8% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.2% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 1.6% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExMacro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
