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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Fed Decision in September?
Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

1.0% (24h)FedMonthly3mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
No change
No change 75%+1.0%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

100 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$26.3K

Liquidity

$387.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

74.0% / 75.0%

Spread

1.4%

Tight spread
7d Change

-1.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 13, 26, 9:27 PMSep 16, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

No change75%

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
  • If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
  • (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,102.32+1.09%EthereumETH$1,635.58+0.44%SolanaSOL$64.57-0.14%

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Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

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ADP employment change in Jun 2026?

ADP employment change in Jun 2026?

$2
Above 50000: 81%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

$0
Above -25,000: 79%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

$0
Above -25,000: 79%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BNBBNB$590.44+0.29%XRPXRP$1.11-0.99%DogecoinDOGE$0.0839-0.37%HyperliquidHYPE$53.75-4.61%ZcashZEC$412.75-4.40%ChainlinkLINK$7.67-1.21%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
  • If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
  • (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.