PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
0 (0 bps) · —
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Stored reference
0 (0 bps) 99%Leader of 13 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
0 (0 bps) 99%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$55.8K
Liquidity
$3.9M
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.9M
Bid / Ask
— / —
0 (0 bps)Spread
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Comments
127
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Sep 29, 25, 10:24 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 0 (0 bps)
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurWill there be exactly 3 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExWill there be exactly 4 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
- Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026.
- This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
- For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
- This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
- Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? · 0 (0 bps) 97%
- Also available on Kalshi — Number of rate cuts in 2026? · Exactly 0 cuts 90%
