KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Exactly 0ㅤ 89.4%+1.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$117.5
Liquidity
$14.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 6, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:28 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
KalshiBank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the October 28, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExNumber of rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 is exactly 0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 is exactly 1ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 is exactly 2ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 is exactly 3ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 is exactly 4ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Central BanksPOLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $498.2K
- 24h Vol
- $39.9K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.3pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.6pt2%
- No change-0.3pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $84.7K
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps95.1%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt2%
- Maintain current rate-1.0pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $172.6K
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-1.1pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.4pt3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.8pt1%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.1K
- 24h Vol
- $7.1K
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Brazil decision in November?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Exactly 0ㅤ at 89% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026? resolve?
- Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026 is exactly 0ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.