PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 6:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No change · —
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Stored reference
No change 86%Leader of 5 outcomes
No change 86%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$30.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$24.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
No changeSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingAug 11, 26, 4:29 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No change
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExSouth African Reserve Bank Decision in November?
PolymarketNext governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 2-3, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? · No change 77%
- Also available on Kalshi — Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November · Maintain current rate 81%
