KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Maintains rate 83.3%+3.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$847.9
Liquidity
$57.9K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of >25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ReutersThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesThe New York TimesAssociated PressCNNBBCBloomberg NewsAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostABCCBSFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Central Banks
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $498.2K
- 24h Vol
- $39.9K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.3pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.6pt2%
- No change-0.3pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $84.7K
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps95.1%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt2%
- Maintain current rate-1.0pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $172.6K
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in September?
- No change-1.1pt96%
- 25 bps increase+1.4pt3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.8pt1%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.1K
- 24h Vol
- $7.1K
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Bank of Brazil decision in November?
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi prices Maintains rate at 83% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? resolve?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.
- How is Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of >25bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.