PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No change
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 3:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No change
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
2%
SurpriseProbability Timeline
25 bps decrease0%
25 bps increase0%
50+ bps decrease0%
50+ bps increase0%
No change100%
No changeWon
25 bps decreaseLost
25 bps increaseLost
50+ bps decreaseLost
50+ bps increaseLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
