PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
25 bps increase 58.3%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 11:45 PM UTCDec 9, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
PolymarketReserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
