KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Maintain current rate (82%)
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 10:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Maintain current rate
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
82%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Maintain current rate83%
Cut 1-25bps23%
Maintain current rateWon
Cut 1-25bpsLost
Hike 1-25bpsLost
Cut more than 25bpsLost
Hike more than 25bpsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Rules for each outcome
- Maintain current rate
- If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of maintain current rate at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of cut more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.