KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Cut 1-25bps 51.4%+13.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 10:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics - Brazil Central Bank
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "the named outcome" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Open markets
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt46.8%
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt3.2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $126.1K
- 24h Vol
- $27K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+3.0pt80.4%
- 25 bps increase-1.5pt16.7%
- 50+ bps increase+1.6pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Above -0.62+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.60+5.0pt95%
- Above -0.58+7.0pt86%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change+1.0pt53.5%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+19.0pt73.7%
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt16.7%
- Hike more than 25bps+7.0pt7.9%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in November
- Hike 1-25bps52%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.9K
- 24h Vol
- $4.9K
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- US active housing listings in September
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- What will Fed Gov Barr say during his housing affordability address?
- Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
- Swiss National Bank decision in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November?
- Kalshi prices Cut 1-25bps at 51% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November resolve?
- Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.