KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Hike 1-25bps · —
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Stored price
Hike 1-25bps 75%Leader of 5 outcomes
Hike 1-25bps 75%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$3.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Hike 1-25bpsSpread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 6:00 PM UTCDec 17, 26, 1:14 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Hike 1-25bps
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
European Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in December
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in November
KalshiBank of Mexico rate decision in December
KalshiWill Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Rules for each outcome
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maintain current rate
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 76%
