KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Maintain current rate 18%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$419.6
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 17, 26, 6:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of the named outcome at December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Mexico Interest Rate
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Open markets
Latin America
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $145.4M
- 24h Vol
- $700.9K
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-20.5pt8%
- September 30-5.5pt5%
- Total Vol
- $95.8K
- 24h Vol
- $95.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.0pt88.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt9.2%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 more outcomes
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+4.0pt42.1%
- Jair Bolsonaro+0.6pt2.8%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro83.8%
- Sandro Alex-2.0pt16.2%
- Requião Filho-0.3pt0%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez-1.0pt12.4%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bank of Mexico rate decision in December?
- Kalshi prices Maintain current rate at 18% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Bank of Mexico rate decision in December resolve?
- Bank of Mexico rate decision in December is scheduled to resolve on December 17, 2026.
- How is Bank of Mexico rate decision in December settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of the named outcome at December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.