María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
1.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPoliticsLatin America3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 30%-1.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$226.8
Liquidity
$15.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
431
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 8:15 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
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Rules
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela.
- Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for December 31 is 30%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference December 31 30% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
