PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 25%Leader of 13 outcomes
December 31 25%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$45.3K
High liquidityOpen interest
$49.3K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
461
7d Change
-5.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 8:15 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
April 30Lost
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
January 31Lost
January 9Lost
July 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
Before close: 1% ·
March 31Lost
March 8Lost
May 31Lost
October 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
Manifold MarketsWill Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsRules
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela.
- Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? · August 31 50%
- Also available on Kalshi — Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? · Before Apr 1, 2027 62%
