Will María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffLatin America1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 25, 9:13 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Machado serves in some leadership role in the Venezuelan government by the end of 2027.
- I would count basically any role that indicates she is serving in a leadership position, even something like "Advisor to the President."
- The "purpose" of this market is to roughly predict whether the government that succeeds Maduro would be another Madurist government or an opposition-led government.
- I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
- Also, context: https://thebsdetector.substack.com/p/the-nobel-committee-is-hungry-for
