Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.7%
Forecasters
53
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 12:05 AM UTCDec 31, 00, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
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PolymarketWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsMaría Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
FutuurWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if María Corina Machado becomes President of Venezuela at any point in the future.
- The market will remain open until Machado becomes president of Venezuela or dies.
- The market will resolve to YES whenever there is consensus among reputable sources that Machado has become the facto and de jure president of Venezuela.
- Considerations (PLEASE READ)
- The market WILL NOT resolve to YES if Machado is recognized as de jure president but does not have de facto control over the Venezuelan government.