Brazil Presidential Election
1.9 pt (24h)15h
Flávio Bolsonaro-1.9pt78%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt22%+17 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$197.4M
24h Vol$3.1M
POLYMARKETLatin America
15,950 markets tracked all-time for Latin America, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Key markets
- Flávio Bolsonaro leads “Brazil Presidential election winner?” at 76.7% on Kalshi.
- Nicolás Maduro leads “Venezuela leader end of 2026?” at 78.8% on Polymarket.
- LCK (South Korea) leads “Worlds 2026 Winning Region” at 80.8% on Polymarket.
Selected open markets with a clear leader. Each line shows one venue's market-implied probability, not a combined forecast or tradable quote. Data timestamps may differ from venue quote or last trade times.
Open Markets
1,778
Total Volume
$8,137,661,404
24h Volume
$6,011,276
Liquidity + open interest
$2,882,715,782
Related Crypto Assets
Related News (5)
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Binance tightens Brazil crypto transfers from Nov. 1Crypto NewsFlávio Bolsonaro-1.9pt78%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt22%POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential election winner?
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Flávio Bolsonaro-1.0pt79%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt22%+12 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$12.4M
24h Vol$676.2K
KALSHIBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
6.0 pt (24h)15h
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%+8.0pt46.1%Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%-6.0pt29.4%Lula da Silva <4%+2.0pt18.6%+5 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.8M
24h Vol$1.2M
POLYMARKET
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
2.3 pt (24h)2mo
Nicolás Maduro+2.3pt78.8%Delcy Rodríguez+2.0pt20.2%No Head of State-0.5pt1%+13 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$98.7M
24h Vol$52.8K
POLYMARKET
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
0.9 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-6.5pt26%October 31+0.9pt11%+11 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.8M
24h Vol$24.9K
POLYMARKET
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
7.0 pt (24h)2mo
Nicolás Maduro+1.0pt79%Delcy Rodríguez+7.0pt27%María Corina Machado-0.1pt3%+15 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Wide spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$5.8M
24h Vol$23.4K
KALSHI
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
1.0 pt (24h)15h
Flavio Bolsonaro+1.0pt66%
Lula-1.0pt34%High quality (85)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$908.6K
24h Vol$168.8K
POLYMARKET
Worlds 2026 Winning Region
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
LCK (South Korea)-0.5pt80.8%LPL (China)-2.0pt14.1%LEC (Europe / EMEA)+1.0pt4%+3 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceLCK (South Korea)80%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (85)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$64K
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5%-1.0pt
No95%+1.0pt
High quality (81)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$3.7M
24h Vol$13.4K
POLYMARKET
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-1.0pt8%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.3M
24h Vol$21.2K
POLYMARKET
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
0.5 pt (24h)12mo
Javier Milei-0.5pt47.5%
Axel Kicillof-1.0pt31.3%
Sergio Massa-0.3pt11.1%+18 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$21.3K
POLYMARKET
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
8.0 pt (24h)12mo
Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%+8.0pt43%Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%-9.0pt32%Lula da Silva, 0-3%17%+5 more outcomes
High quality (80)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$246.5K
24h Vol$68.6K
KALSHIBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
2.0 pt (24h)15h
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%+1.0pt27.4%Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%-2.0pt24.5%Flávio Bolsonaro <2%+5.0pt21.6%+11 more outcomes
High quality (81)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$159K
24h Vol$86.3K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
10.0 pt (24h)15h
Lula+10.0pt86%Flavio Bolsonaro-11.0pt14%High quality (81)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$171.2K
24h Vol$35.9K
POLYMARKET
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
2.5 pt (24h)9d
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems+2.5pt41.2%Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems+2.0pt13.7%Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps+2.0pt11.8%+9 more outcomes
High quality (85)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$293.9K
24h Vol$19.5K
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
1.5 pt (24h)15h
Lula+1.5pt69.3%Flavio Bolsonaro-1.5pt30.7%High quality (79)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$153.5K
24h Vol$30.5K
POLYMARKET
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
1mo
At least 48%98%At least 49%+2.0pt94%At least 50%+3.0pt81%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$114.7K
24h Vol$25.7K
KALSHI
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
7.0 pt (24h)15h
Allyson-6.0pt66%
Cadu de Lula+7.0pt34%
Arinalda do MLB0%+6 more outcomes
High quality (83)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$123.1K
24h Vol$18.9K
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
3.0 pt (24h)15h
Lula+2.0pt91%Flavio Bolsonaro-3.0pt9%High quality (80)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$168.4K
24h Vol$12.2K
POLYMARKETUS military action against Cuba by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-1.0pt9%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$7.7M
24h Vol$4.4K
POLYMARKET
Amazonas Governor Election Winner
7.5 pt (24h)15h
Omar Aziz+7.5pt90%
Professora Maria do Carmo-7.5pt10%
Cabo Daciolo0%+4 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceOmar Aziz90%· 2 pt venue spread
High quality (82)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$122.6K
24h Vol$8.4K
POLYMARKET
IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026
19.0 pt (24h)1d
At least 190,000 points+16.0pt90%At least 196,000 points+19.0pt90%At least 211,000 points+57.0pt88%+28 more outcomes
Low quality (48)Wide spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$53.3K
24h Vol$20.4K
KALSHIBrazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent
3.0 pt (24h)1mo
At least 44%+3.0pt98%At least 45%+4.0pt97%At least 46%+2.0pt93%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$68.7K
24h Vol$13.5K
KALSHI
Worlds 2026 Winning Region
3.0 pt (24h)21d
LCK+4.0pt81%LPL-2.0pt14%LEC+3.0pt7%+3 more outcomes
High quality (75)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$71.3K
24h Vol$12.3K
KALSHI
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
1.0 pt (24h)9d
25 bps decrease-1.0pt81.8%No Change+1.6pt18.2%25 bps increase-0.2pt0%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$84.9K
24h Vol$9.7K
POLYMARKET
New Mexico Senate winner?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Ben Ray Luján+1.3pt98%Larry E. Marker+0.1pt4%High quality (80)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$121.5K
24h Vol$6.2K
KALSHI
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
12mo
Roraima99%Tocantins98%Minas Gerais+5.0pt96%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$101.3K
24h Vol$5.9K
KALSHIBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
1.5 pt (24h)15h
78-80%+7.0pt58.4%76-78%+1.5pt32.7%80-82%-1.0pt5.9%+2 more outcomes
High quality (78)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$73.9K
24h Vol$6.2K
POLYMARKET
US strike on Colombia by which date?
4.5 pt (24h)2mo
December 31-4.5pt22%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (68)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.3M
24h Vol$2.6K
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
2.0 pt (24h)15h
Flavio Bolsonaro+2.0pt96%Lula-2.5pt4%High quality (78)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$40.6K
24h Vol$7.9K
POLYMARKET
Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA
2.0 pt (24h)1d
Coritiba FBC-2.0pt43.6%Grêmio FBPA+2.0pt28.7%Draw (Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA)+0.5pt27.7%High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.2K
24h Vol$15.9K
POLYMARKET
Maduro Prison Time?
2.0 pt (24h)1y
No prison time-2.0pt53%60+21%<20-0.1pt9%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$930.6K
24h Vol$3.3K
POLYMARKET
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes12.9%+1.0pt
No87.1%-1.0pt
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.8M
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Mexico City on October 25?
13.5 pt (24h)Awaiting resolution
20°C+13.5pt35.9%19°C+1.0pt28.2%21°C+5.0pt19.4%+8 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$17.7K
24h Vol$9.1K
POLYMARKET
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
11.1 pt (24h)2mo
5.00-5.49%-10.8pt59.4%4.50-4.99%+11.1pt23.8%5.50-5.99%-0.8pt11.9%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$177.7K
24h Vol$4.3K
POLYMARKET
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
5.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes23%+5.5pt
No77%-5.5pt
Medium quality (68)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$243.4K
24h Vol$3K
POLYMARKET
New Mexico Governor winner?
1.4 pt (24h)2mo
Deb Haaland-1.2pt94%Greggory D. Hull+1.4pt6%CoinRithm referenceDeb Haaland (D)94%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$191.3K
24h Vol$3.3K
KALSHI
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5%+1.0pt
No95%-1.0pt
Medium quality (68)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$185.9K
24h Vol$2.9K
POLYMARKET
Brazil’s Next President Elect
3.0 pt (24h)5h
Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt83%
Lula-7.0pt12%
Eduardo Leite2%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (47)Spread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$166.8K
24h Vol$2.5K
FUTUUR
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield
10.0 pt (24h)12h
Vélez+10.0pt52.5%Draw (CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield)-3.0pt26.7%Central Córdoba-7.5pt20.8%High quality (79)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.4K
24h Vol$5.2K
POLYMARKET
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
3.0 pt (24h)2mo
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan14%Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar-1.0pt14%Juan Pablo Ledezma+3.0pt14%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (63)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$194K
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKET
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
3.0 pt (24h)4d
No change-3.0pt58.3%25 bps increase-0.5pt32.3%50+ bps decrease-5.0pt5.2%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (68)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$57K
24h Vol$4.7K
POLYMARKET
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
10.0 pt (24h)12mo
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%+10.0pt80%Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%+2.0pt52%Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%-3.0pt38%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (58)Wide spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$43K
24h Vol$5K
KALSHI
Colima Governor Election Winner
4.0 pt (24h)7mo
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera-4.0pt75%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez+15.8pt18.3%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos-2.1pt1%+19 more outcomes
High quality (81)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$48.6K
24h Vol$4K
POLYMARKET
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
4.5 pt (24h)11d
No change+4.5pt84.7%25 bps decrease-6.2pt15.3%25 bps increase0%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$100.3K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKET
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
1.5 pt (24h)14h
Flávio Bolsonaro-1.5pt9%
Lula da Silva+1.6pt3%
Ronaldo Caiado+1.6pt3%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$67.1K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKET
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
6.8 pt (24h)15h
Lorenzo Pazolini-8.7pt90.8%
Ricardo Ferraço+6.8pt9.2%
Arnaldinho Borgo0%+2 more outcomes
High quality (79)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$55.5K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKET
Tocantins Governor Election Winner
5.0 pt (24h)15h
Vicentinho Júnior+4.0pt93%
Professora Dorinha-5.0pt7%
Ataides de Oliveira0%+4 more outcomes
High quality (78)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$48.9K
24h Vol$2.5K
POLYMARKET