New Mexico Governor winner?
0.3 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionLatin America2026 US Midterms2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Deb Haaland · —
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Stored price
Deb Haaland 93.3%
Deb Haaland 93.3%Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$15.5K
Open interest
$140.6K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Deb HaalandSpread
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Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 26, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 14s (informational)
Market depth · Deb Haaland
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New Mexico Governor margin of victory
KalshiNew Mexico Governor General Election: voter turnout
KalshiNew Mexico Governor election: Deb Haaland vote percent
KalshiNew Mexico Governor election: Gregg Hull vote percent
KalshiNew Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich Party will win the 2026 New Mexico Governor's Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New Mexico Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Deb Haaland
- If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greggory D. Hull
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Deb Haaland (D) is 93%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Deb Haaland (D) 93% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — New Mexico Governor Election Winner · Deb Haaland (D) 94%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 New Mexico Governor Race · Democrat 94%