PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Deb Haaland (D) 93%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.4
Liquidity
$32K
High liquidityBid / Ask
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 11:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Gemini — New Mexico Governor Winner · Deb Haaland 91%
- Also available on Kalshi — New Mexico Governor winner? · Deb Haaland 95%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 New Mexico Governor Race · Democrat 92%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New Mexico Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Deb Haaland (D) at 93% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does New Mexico Governor Election Winner resolve?
- New Mexico Governor Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is New Mexico Governor Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
- Where else is New Mexico Governor Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera).