PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 84%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$32.7K
Liquidity
$669K
High liquidityBid / Ask
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.2%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 11, 25, 7:50 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic Party84%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 84% | +2pt | $32.7K | $669K | 1 minute ago | |
 KalshiMost active67% match · linked | High | 82% | 0pt | $77.2K | $10.9M | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless94% match · auto | Low | 50% | -32pt | $0 | $0 | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
 PredictIt69% match · verified | — | 78% | -4pt | — | — | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Which party will win the House in 2026?
3mo
50%
15.1%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on PredictIt
Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?
78%
24%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Kalshi
Which party will win the U.S. House?
6mo
+1.0%82%
19%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$17.7M
24h Vol$77.2K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S.
- House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S.
- House of Representatives.
- If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.
- If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$32.7kJul 213d of dataJul 14
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This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S.
- House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S.
- House of Representatives.
- If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.
- If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.