PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democratic Party · —
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Stored reference
Democratic Party 91.1%
Democratic Party 91.1%Market quality
96 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$362.5K
Liquidity
$6.9M
High liquidityOpen interest
$10.4M
Bid / Ask
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Democratic PartySpread
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Comments
32
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 11, 25, 7:50 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Democratic Party
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 3rd District?
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KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
- All House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included.
- Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Democratic Party is 91%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 91% · 3 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 89%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms · Democratic Party 94%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 92%
- Also available on Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 90%