PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrats Sweep 64.7%-1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Democrats Sweep 64.7%-1.0ptMarket quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$538.7K
Liquidity
$7.6M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
356
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 11, 25, 9:05 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
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Manifold MarketsTexas Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMinnesota Senate winner?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Balance of Power After the 2026 Midterms · Democrats Senate + Democrats House 64%
- Also available on PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 63%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 63%
- Also available on Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 66%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? · Democrats Sweep 66%