What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
D House, R Senate 41%Leader of 4 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
D House, R Senate41%
Compare venues· D House, R Senate
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · linked | High | 46% | — | $61.9K | $5.1M | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
 Polymarket88% match · linked | High | 44% | — | $11.9K | $940K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets82% match · linked | — | 44% | — | — | — | 2 hours ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets92% match · verified | — | 44% | — | — | — | 8 hours ago | Open → |
| PredictItThis page | — | 41% | — | — | — | 8 minutes ago |
Also available on Manifold Markets
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
3mo
-0.3%42.4%
+0.2%43.8%
0.8%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast99 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3mo
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.5M
24h Vol$11.9K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
3.0%6mo
+3.0%46%
-1.0%17%
-0.1%2%
+1 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8M
24h Vol$61.9K
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3mo
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast128 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.