LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrats Sweep 61.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Democrats Sweep 61.5%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 1:50 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.
A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.
A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.
A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
- If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 62%
- Also available on PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 62%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 59%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? · Democrats Sweep 63%
