KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below $55,000.00 · —
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Stored price
Below $55,000.00 10.5%Market line of 4 lines
Below $55,000.00 10.5%Market quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Open interest
$2M
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Below $55,000.00Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Feb 5, 26, 8:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Below $55,000.00
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $55000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
Rules for each outcome
- Below $55,000.00
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $55000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $50,000.00
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $50000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $40,000.00
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $40000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $45,000.00
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $45000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.