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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

2.0% (24h)BitcoinOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Below $55,000.00
Below $55,000.00 63%-2.0%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

71 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$143.1

Liquidity

$12.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

63.0% / 64.0%

Spread

1.6%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Feb 5, 26, 8:30 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Below $55,000.0063%

Rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $60000.00 starting Jan 1, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

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BitcoinBTC$64,130.41+1.11%

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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

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Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

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Active in these topics

ChainlinkLINK$8.01+1.61%EthereumETH$1,679.96+0.85%SolanaSOL$67.95+1.77%BNBBNB$608.44+0.37%DogecoinDOGE$0.0885+1.78%XRPXRP$1.15+1.57%

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Rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $60000.00 starting Jan 1, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.