KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBelow $60,000.00 99%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.3K
Liquidity
$1.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
62.0% / 63.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Feb 5, 26, 8:30 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Below $55,000.0062%
Large trades
$6.0k62.0%KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — Yesyesterday
KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — Yesyesterday$1.7k58.0%KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — Yes2d ago
KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — Yes2d ago$1.7k58.0%KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — Yes2d ago
KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — Yes2d ago$6.4k63.0%KALSHIBelow $45,000.00 — No8d ago
KALSHIBelow $45,000.00 — No8d ago$3.0k63.0%KALSHIBelow $45,000.00 — No8d ago
KALSHIBelow $45,000.00 — No8d ago$2.1k70.0%KALSHIBelow $40,000.00 — No8d ago
KALSHIBelow $40,000.00 — No8d ago$1.0k47.0%KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — No11d ago
KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — No11d ago$3.0k32.0%KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — No25d ago
KALSHIBelow $55,000.00 — No25d agoVolume trend
$13.3kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $60000.00 starting Jan 1, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
- The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.