KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$81K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 18, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Satoshi Index