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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?

Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?

BitcoinYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 5%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$426

Liquidity

$18.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 5.0%

Spread

25.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Oct 10, 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes5%

Rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

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Active in these topics

ChainlinkLINK$7.78+1.57%EthereumETH$1,650.54+2.09%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.48%BNBBNB$594.98+1.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.00%

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Rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.