KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 83%
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$37.3K
Liquidity
$463.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 2, 26, 5:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If BTC reaches $50,000 before reaching $100,000 between Issuance and 11:59 PM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market tracks whether the cryptocurrency price reaches the first threshold before the second threshold. "Reaches" means the price touches or falls below $50,000 (the lower threshold) OR touches or rises above $100,000 (the upper threshold).
- The first threshold reached determines the outcome.
- Price is measured using the CF Real-Time Index, taking a simple average over any 60-second period.
- If $50,000 is reached first, the market resolves to Yes.
- If $100,000 is reached first, the market resolves to No. If neither threshold is reached by the deadline, the market resolves to No. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No.