LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 51%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 1:37 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.
- If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Prediction Source Comparison
4 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Republican Party is 51%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Republican Party 51% · 4 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Republican Party 52%
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 51%
Open markets
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above+9.0pt99%
- $74,500 or above+5.0pt99%
- $73,000 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 2am EDT?
- $80,600 or above99%
- $80,700 or above99%
- $80,500 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 4?
- 68,000+0.3pt100%
- 70,000+1.5pt100%
- 72,000+1.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHow low will BNB get in September?
- Below $580.00+88.0pt94%
- Below $590.0094%
- Below $500.0022%
+15 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $80,969.52 target
- No91%
- Yes9%
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $801.5K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit August 31-September 6?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 4?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- How low will BTC get in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the Senate in 2026??
- Limitless prices Democratic Party at 51% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the Senate in 2026? resolve?
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Which party will win the Senate in 2026? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.</p><p><br></p><p>Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.</p><p><br></p><p>If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.
- Where else is Which party will win the Senate in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Polymarket.