PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Republican Party 55%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.3K
Liquidity
$431.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
54.0% / 55.0%
Spread
1.9%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 11, 25, 7:48 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican Party55%
Large trades
$10.6k42.7%Yes98better10d ago
Volume trend
$6.3kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S.
- Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
- If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.
- If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
- Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.