KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.4%Leader of 48 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$872.5K
Liquidity
$131.7M
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Nov 6, 24, 3:00 PMNov 7, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Party
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · 5 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 24%
- Also available on Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · AOCA 20%
- Also available on Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 21%
- Also available on Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Pete Buttigieg 50%
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
- Also available on Myriad — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Gavin Newsom 44%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2028 Democratic presidential nominee?
- Kalshi prices Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 18% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does 2028 Democratic presidential nominee resolve?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is 2028 Democratic presidential nominee settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is 2028 Democratic presidential nominee listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Gemini, Smarkets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, Myriad.