KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityElizabeth Warren 0%Leader of 46 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.1M
Liquidity
$103.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 1, 26, 7:00 PMNov 7, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Bernie Sanders1%
Compare venues· Gavin Newsom
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 19% | 0pt | $4.1M | $103.9M | 8 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket74% match · verified | Medium | 19% | 0pt | $1.1M | $70.7M | 13 minutes ago | Open → |
 Smarkets64% match · auto | Low | 21% | +2pt | $1 | $0 | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless93% match · auto | Low | 23% | +4pt | $0 | $0 | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
 Myriad74% match · auto | Low | 49% | +30pt | $0 | $0 | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 20% | +1pt | — | — | 30 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets78% match · auto | — | 22% | +3pt | — | — | 2 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
23%
13.9%
5.9%
+3 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$12.2K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1y
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast21 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
-0.4%19%
-0.4%14%
-2.0%10%
+125 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.2B
24h Vol$1.1M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Myriad
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
5.1%73y
+0.1%48.5%
-0.1%4.5%
-0.1%22%
+29 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
MYRIADAlso available on Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 more outcomes
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.5K
24h Vol$1
SMARKETSRules
If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If James Talarico wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ruben Gallego wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ro Khanna wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chris Murphy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.1MJul 210d of dataJul 11
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If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If James Talarico wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ruben Gallego wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ro Khanna wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chris Murphy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.