What are the current odds for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Myriad prices Gavin Newsom at 40.9% as of October 10, 2026.

When does Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.

Myriad settles this market as follows: ### **Market Dates:**

The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, PredictIt.

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Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced

Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current implied probability

Gavin Newsom 40.9%+3.2pt

Leader of 32 outcomes

Market quality

22 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Traders

5,547

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Feb 24, 26, 2:41 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 12:01 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
### **Resolution Details:**
- Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.