KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 39%+4.0%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$115.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.7%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Dec 16, 25, 4:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes39%
CoinRithm reference39%· 2 venues· ±0 pts
YesNo
POLYMARKET
Also available on Polymarket
Blue tsunami in 2026?
4mo
39%
62%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$30K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.1kJul 26d of dataJul 7
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.