KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJames Talarico, 1+ pts 41%+5.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$452.9
Liquidity
$13.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
35.0% / 41.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 1:03 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
James Talarico, 1+ pts41%
Volume trend
$453Jul 222d of dataJul 28
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- Senate election in Texas by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.