KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
D-House, D-Senate 45.5%-1.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$39.4K
Liquidity
$6.6M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 3:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- Each CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.
- If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Democrats Sweep is 50%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democrats Sweep 50% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 47%
- Also available on Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 50%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? · Democrats Sweep 49%
- Also available on Smarkets — Balance of Power After the 2026 Midterms · Democrats Senate + Democrats House 46%
- Also available on Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 51%
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power??
- Kalshi prices D-House, D-Senate at 46% as of August 30, 2026.
- When does 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? resolve?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Polymarket.