KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityD-House, D-Senate 46%+3.0%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$61.9K
Liquidity
$5.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
2.2%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 3:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
D-House, D-Senate46%
Compare venues· D-House, D-Senate
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 46% | — | $61.9K | $5.1M | 9 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket82% match · verified | High | 44% | — | $11.9K | $940K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets82% match · verified | — | 44% | — | — | — | 2 hours ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets85% match · verified | — | 44% | — | — | — | 8 hours ago | Open → |
 PredictIt85% match · linked | — | 41% | — | — | — | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
3mo
-0.3%42.4%
+0.2%43.8%
0.8%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast99 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3mo
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.5M
24h Vol$11.9K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3mo
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast128 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$61.9kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.