PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Robert F. Kennedy 49%Leader of 128 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$540.4K
Liquidity
$46.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.1% / 2.2%
Spread
4.8%
Moderate spread7d Change
+0.2%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 11, 25, 7:42 PMNov 7, 28, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Robert F. Kennedy49%
Compare venues· J.D. Vance
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 41% | 0pt | $540.4K | $46.7M | 4 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi74% match · verified | High | 41% | 0pt | $79.8K | $35.5M | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless94% match · auto | Low | 24% | -17pt | $0 | $0 | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
 Myriad85% match · auto | Low | 80% | +39pt | $0 | $0 | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
 Smarkets64% match · linked | Low | 38% | -3pt | $0 | $0 | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets88% match · auto | — | 39% | -2pt | — | — | 11 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets82% match · linked | — | 40% | -1pt | — | — | 11 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets85% match · verified | — | 41% | 0pt | — | — | 8 hours ago | Open → |
 PredictIt82% match · linked | — | 38% | -3pt | — | — | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$15.2K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
39.4%
27.8%
3.5%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2y
3%
2.1%
0.1%
+35 more outcomes
Community forecast801 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Myriad
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2.0%73y
+0.0%80.3%
-0.1%11.2%
-0.1%0.4%
+29 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
MYRIADAlso available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
38%
29%
5%
+11 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2y
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 more outcomes
Community forecast62 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
1.0%2y
-1.0%29%
1%
+0.1%2%
+35 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$51.1M
24h Vol$79.8K
KALSHIAlso available on Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.2K
24h Vol$0
SMARKETSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
- Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k99.1%Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Nobtcii12212d ago
$1.4k99.1%Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — No342dsafr6574d ago
$20.0k99.3%Nooliviagarcia-90211d ago
Volume trend
$540.4kJul 210d of dataJul 11
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
- Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.