PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
J.D. Vance 47%-0.1ptLeader of 42 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$439.9K
Liquidity
$57.3M
High liquiditySpread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
433
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 11, 25, 7:42 PMNov 7, 28, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
- Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference J.D. Vance 44% · 4 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 44%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028? · JD Vance 43%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 44%
- Also available on Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 42%
- Also available on Myriad — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · JD Vance 54%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee · JVAN 36%
- Also available on Gemini — 2028 Republican Nominee for President? · J.D. Vance 43%
- Also available on Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Marco Rubio 50%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $193.1M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Total Vol
- $24.6M
- 24h Vol
- $546.4K
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Polymarket prices J.D. Vance at 47% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president.
- Where else is Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt, Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Smarkets, Myriad, Robinhood (Rothera), Gemini, Limitless.