MyriadCurrent implied probability
JD Vance 67.4%-0.0%Leader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Feb 24, 26, 2:33 PMJan 1, 00, 12:01 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
JD Vance67%
Compare venues· J.D. Vance
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMost active | 40% | 0pt | $1.5M | $47.3M | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
 Kalshi | 41% | +1pt | $102.7K | $35.4M | 2 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets | 40% | +0pt | — | — | 7 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 39% | -1pt | — | — | 9 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 40% | 0pt | — | — | 9 days ago | Open → |
| MyriadThis page | 67% | +27pt | $0 | $0 | 16 minutes ago | |
 PredictIt | 37% | -3pt | — | — | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 Limitless | 24% | -16pt | $0 | $0 | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 Smarkets | 38% | -2pt | $0 | $0 | 1 minute ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
49%
+0.1%40%
-0.1%26%
+125 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$670.7M
24h Vol$1.5M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
2y
2.8%
2%
0.1%
+35 more outcomes
Community forecast799 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$2.4K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37%
29%
5%
+11 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
2y
1.8%
3%
0.5%
+22 more outcomes
Community forecast62 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$24.5K
24h Vol$117.3
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
39.4%
27.8%
3.5%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$6.9K
24h Vol$125.1
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Limitless
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
23.5%
50%
2.9%
+4 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$15.2K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Kalshi
2028 Republican presidential nominee
2y
0%
3%
3%
+35 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$50.7M
24h Vol$102.7K
KALSHIAlso available on Smarkets
Republican Presidential Nominee
0.2%
3.3%
0.1%
+24 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.2K
24h Vol$0
SMARKETSRules
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.