Trump out as President before 2027?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$51.4K
Liquidity
$357.3K
High liquidityOpen interest
$3.5M
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 9:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiNicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
PolymarketClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
PolymarketGianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
KalshiMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 4%.
CoinRithm reference 4% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread