Trump out as President before 2027?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 94.1%+1.0pt
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$98.6K
Liquidity
$422.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 5, 25, 9:57 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 6%. Quotes span about 47 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 6% · 2 venues · 47 pt venue spread
Open markets
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.9pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.7pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $2.3M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt17.2%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 more outcomes
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump out as President before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 94% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Trump out as President before 2027? resolve?
- Trump out as President before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Trump out as President before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Trump out as President before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless.