PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 8%+0.0%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$40K
Liquidity
$435.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Wide spread7d Change
+1.0%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 9:57 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes8%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 93% | +85pt | $40K | $435.3K | 15 minutes ago | |
 Limitless94% match · auto | Low | 93% | +85pt | $0 | $0 | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Trump out as President before 2027?
5mo
7%
93%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.7K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$9.3k93.0%Nobahibahibahi8d ago
$7.9k93.0%NoAeglos9d ago
Volume trend
$40.0kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
- Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
- A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.