Current implied probability
None before 2027 42%+12.0%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.8K
Liquidity
$297.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 43.0%
Spread
7.5%
Moderate spread7d Change
+34.0%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 2:18 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
None before 202742%
Volume trend
$7.8kJul 28d of dataJul 9
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This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
- An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
- Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
- Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
- If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.