Current implied probability
Netanyahu - Israel PM 35.9%-2.0ptLeader of 22 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$327.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 2:18 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
- An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
- Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution.
- Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
- Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
- If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
