Europe
138 related markets tracked across sources for Europe.
Open Markets
85
Total Volume
$44,913,136
24h Volume
$1,104,568
Total Liquidity
$1,353,367
Related Crypto Assets
France United Left Primary Winner
4mo
49%
12%
-0.6%4%
+22 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$91K
24h Vol$5.8K
POLYMARKET
Starmer out before July?
19d
17%
83%
Community forecast567 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$690.5K
24h Vol$10.8K
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
6mo
-3.5%32%
4%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$393.2K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKET
EU dissolves before 2027?
6mo
3%
97%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$170.9K
24h Vol$389
POLYMARKET
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
18.0%6mo
-0.2%30%
+0.2%71%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.7K
24h Vol$3K
POLYMARKET
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
0.3%6mo
+0.7%98%
-0.3%35%
-0.1%0%
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$479.8K
24h Vol$144.1
POLYMARKET
Bank of England decision in June?
6d
+0.1%98%
1%
-0.3%1%
+2 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$272.3K
24h Vol$102.5
POLYMARKET
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
6mo
22%
79%
72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$275.8K
24h Vol$123
POLYMARKET
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
0.5%18d
+0.0%87%
14%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$58.4K
24h Vol$292.7
POLYMARKET
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
4.0%6mo
-4.0%12%
-0.6%1%
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$163.4K
24h Vol$246.1
POLYMARKET
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
1.9%
+7.9%60%
+6.0%59%
-0.5%29%
+3 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$20.1K
24h Vol$704.7
POLYMARKET
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
1.1%18d
-0.0%6%
+0.0%94%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$97.4K
24h Vol$168.2
POLYMARKET
ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
7d
61%
58%
50%
+12 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$599.2
24h Vol$599.2
POLYMARKET
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
1.5%18d
+0.0%10%
-0.0%91%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$31.7K
24h Vol$232
POLYMARKET
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
0.1%18d
2%
98%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$27.1K
24h Vol$133.4
POLYMARKET
Keir Starmer departure announced?
3.0%20d
+3.0%17%
64%
+1.0%39%
+4 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$22.7K
24h Vol$130.4
KALSHIWill the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
6mo
40.9%
59.1%
Community forecast16 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$3.2K
24h Vol$340.4
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
2y
0.3%
0%
75.7%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast80 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$31.1K
24h Vol$165.3
MANIFOLD MARKETSNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
6mo
93.8%
6.2%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$4.7K
24h Vol$2K
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
0.5%2mo
-0.5%91%
+0.3%5%
+0.1%1%
+31 more outcomes
83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$48.8K
24h Vol$59
POLYMARKET
Macron out by...?
0.1%19d
-0.1%0%
-0.1%0%
0%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$22.6
POLYMARKET
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
8.5%7d
+16.0%66%
63%
+8.5%59%
+13 more outcomes
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$165.2
24h Vol$165.2
POLYMARKETWhich UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
6mo
28.4%
13.7%
48%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast12 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2.6K
24h Vol$224.8
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
0.1%6mo
28%
-0.2%0%
0%
+2 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$323.7K
24h Vol$71.5
POLYMARKETWill Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?
3mo
13.3%
86.7%
Community forecast25 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2K
24h Vol$100
MANIFOLD MARKETSAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?
6mo
7%
94%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$142K
24h Vol$5.2
POLYMARKETWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
2mo
45%
56%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$70.6K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
6mo
6%
95%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$22.2K
24h Vol$16.5
POLYMARKET
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
6mo
5%
95%
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$25.1K
24h Vol$8.7
POLYMARKETWill a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027?
6mo
8.4%
91.6%
Community forecast9 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$571.4
24h Vol$276.8
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
3.0%6mo
+0.0%19%
-0.0%81%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$4.1K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
Greta Thunberg arrested by...?
0.7%18d
-4.0%36%
+0.7%3%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$71K
24h Vol$27.8
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in July?
1mo
+5.0%78%
22%
1%
+2 more outcomes
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$4.5K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
6mo
12%
88%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.9K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
ECB rate cut in 2026?
6mo
14%
87%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$28.2K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
7.3%7mo
+0.1%59%
-11.1%34%
-9.9%29%
+6 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$13.3K
24h Vol$18.4
POLYMARKET
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0.6%7mo
-0.1%38%
-9.5%34%
-0.1%27%
+6 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.9K
24h Vol$2.4
POLYMARKET
X banned in any European country by December 31?
6mo
32%
69%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.9K
24h Vol$3.4
POLYMARKETWill Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?
6d
26.2%
73.8%
Community forecast37 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$4.4K
24h Vol$50
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
0.5%6mo
47%
+0.0%54%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$6.1K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETWill Starmer be in the process of leaving at start of July?
19d
9.5%
90.5%
Community forecast15 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$3.3K
24h Vol$50
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
6mo
20.2%
79.8%
Community forecast24 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$50
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will One Nation's support be on the 1st of July 2026?
20d
7.8%
22.4%
43.9%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast3 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.7K
24h Vol$15
MANIFOLD MARKETS
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
1.0%6mo
+0.0%17%
-0.0%84%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.4K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?
0.3%18d
-0.5%79%
-0.3%0%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$133K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
Either Tate brother arrested by...?
9.1%18d
-3.0%13%
-9.1%0%
-0.7%0%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.7K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
1.0%1mo
+0.5%27%
19%
14%
+4 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$5.6
POLYMARKET
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
2mo
50%
50%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET