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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. EU dissolves before 2027?
EU dissolves before 2027?

EU dissolves before 2027?

One-OffGeopoliticsEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 3%
Market quality

80 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$389

Liquidity

$38.1K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.3% / 3.4%

Spread

3.0%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Dec 7, 25, 11:23 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes3%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
  • 1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
  • 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
  • EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
  • 1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
  • 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
  • EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.